Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.781702 4.031647 4.301399 4.616319 4.976720 5.379849 5.870058
2025-05-18 3.440574 3.777387 4.162222 4.641849 5.234804 5.960299 6.943779
2025-05-25 3.100705 3.472633 3.914715 4.492547 5.250745 6.249827 7.743882
2025-06-01 2.874184 3.273233 3.763878 4.432944 5.361071 6.677551 8.866871
2025-06-08 2.701847 3.120829 3.651187 4.402195 5.499296 7.172839 10.294802
2025-06-15 2.579347 3.018398 3.589466 4.428033 5.718416 7.845830 12.392446
2025-06-22 2.427952 2.865188 3.444056 4.314985 5.704343 8.128954 13.913010
2025-06-29 2.279071 2.704692 3.274974 4.147447 5.575102 8.172695 14.935410
2025-07-06 2.172710 2.594445 3.167040 4.059608 5.563274 8.438123 16.814025
2025-07-13 2.147055 2.591593 3.209371 4.205391 5.976758 9.711345 23.791395
2025-07-20 2.100293 2.555781 3.200086 4.266534 6.248310 10.798413 33.495711
2025-07-27 2.092236 2.573283 3.269967 4.465240 6.829825 13.027586 70.989561
2025-08-03 2.038642 2.528906 3.252642 4.532016 7.205114 15.170796 303.546747
2025-08-10 1.971375 2.461162 3.194707 4.521689 7.418533 17.088098 NaN
2025-08-17 1.877656 2.349746 3.060615 4.357870 7.238447 17.316439 NaN
2025-08-24 1.810385 2.274742 2.980435 4.287784 7.278798 18.694748 NaN
2025-08-31 1.754884 2.214687 2.920499 4.249973 7.396164 20.753856 NaN
2025-09-07 1.714247 2.175027 2.891125 4.268273 7.672395 24.506337 NaN
2025-09-14 1.653820 2.102333 2.802426 4.158869 7.565931 25.478209 NaN
2025-09-21 1.588572 2.019883 2.693507 3.999924 7.288201 24.718731 NaN
2025-09-28 1.540512 1.962335 2.623920 3.916287 7.220777 25.890441 NaN
2025-10-05 1.532721 1.966651 2.658866 4.051544 7.857063 37.287799 NaN
2025-10-12 1.512210 1.949991 2.656560 4.107905 8.272485 51.697919 NaN